#Economic

289 articles

Usman Salis Usman Salis Global economy
19 hours ago

Inflation Rebound Signals New Risk as US Rate Hits 1.77%

US inflation is rising again, with Truflation data showing a move from 1.68% to 1.77%. The shift highlights renewed pressure from energy prices and could influence the broader SPY stock and S&P 500 trend.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
6 days ago

Fed Rate Cut Odds Hit 0% for 2026 as Inflation and Oil Keep Policy on Hold

Swaps markets now price zero chance of Fed rate cuts in 2026 as inflation and oil prices keep policy on hold.

Alex Dudov Alex Dudov Global economy
6 days ago

U.S. Inflation Climbs to 1.65% as Truflation Momentum Turns Higher

U.S. Truflation CPI climbs to 1.65%, nearly doubling from 0.72% lows as inflation momentum shifts direction.

Alex Dudov Alex Dudov Global economy
1 week ago

China M2 Growth at 9% in February 2026 Signals Weak Inflation Trend

China's M2 money supply grew 9% year-over-year in February 2026, still below the 10% Golden Growth Rate, keeping inflation subdued near 1.3%.

Sergey Diakov Sergey Diakov Global economy
1 week ago

Inflation Forecasts Rise 2.7% in the U.S. and Beyond in 2026

Economists lift 2026 inflation projections across major economies as energy costs push price expectations higher.

Usman Salis Usman Salis Global economy
1 week ago

Truflation CPI Jumps to 1.47% as Inflation Volatility Returns to Key Consumer Categories

Real-time Truflation data shows US CPI rising from 1.21% to 1.47% YoY, driven by clothing, transport, and housing - still below the official 2.40% BLS rate.

Usman Salis Usman Salis Global economy
1 week ago

Inflation Rises to 1.21% as Real-Time Data Tracks CPI Signals

Truflation CPI climbed to 1.21%, still under the Fed's 2% target as geopolitical risks stir short-term inflation pressure.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
2 weeks ago

US CPI Inflation Rises to 1.21% as Gasoline Prices Surge 12.34%

Truflation US CPI rose to 1.21% YoY as gasoline prices surged 12.34%, adding 0.13pp to inflation.

Usman Salis Usman Salis Global economy
2 weeks ago

Truflation US CPI Falls to 1.08% as February BLS Print Forecast Near 2.4%

Truflation's real-time inflation gauge shows U.S. CPI running at 1.08%, far below the official government figure, with February's BLS reading projected near 2.4%.

Usman Salis Usman Salis Global economy
2 weeks ago

Turkey M3 Money Supply Surges to 39.9% as CPI Hits 31.5%

Turkey's M3 money supply grows 39.9% annually, far above the 23.4% Golden Growth Rate, while CPI inflation holds at 31.5%.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
2 weeks ago

XAU Inflation Watch: Gasoline and Food Prices Move in 19-Year Lockstep

A long-term chart comparing gasoline futures and global food prices highlights a striking correlation between energy costs and food inflation, with potential implications for economic stability worldwide.

Alex Dudov Alex Dudov Global economy
3 weeks ago

Truflation US CPI Shows Inflation at 0.86% — Well Below the Official 2.40%

The Truflation US CPI Inflation Index puts current inflation at just 0.86% year over year — a sharp contrast to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' official reading of 2.40%, and a sign that price pressures may already be cooling faster than government data suggests.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
3 weeks ago

Venezuelan Crude Supply Could Cut Inflation by Up to 0.7% - Here's What Markets Expect

New signals of rising Venezuelan oil supply are drawing attention across global markets. Increased production could influence inflation trends and central bank policy expectations in the months ahead.

Victoria Bazir Victoria Bazir Global economy
3 weeks ago

Egypt Inflation Hits 11.9% as M2 Money Supply Growth Reaches 18.7%

Egypt's inflation rate has climbed well above the official 3%-7% target as money supply expansion accelerates beyond levels associated with stable prices. December 2025 data shows M2 growing at 18.7% annually, raising concerns among economists tracking the country's monetary trajectory.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
3 weeks ago

Euro Area Inflation Rises to 1.9% in February 2026, Flash Estimate

Euro area annual inflation is expected to reach 1.9% in February 2026, up from 1.7% in January. Services led price growth at 3.4%, while energy remained negative at -3.2%, according to Eurostat's flash estimate.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
3 weeks ago

Fed Hold Odds Jump to 95.5% Ahead of March 18 Meeting

Rate markets are pricing a strong likelihood the Federal Reserve keeps its target rate unchanged at the March 18, 2026 meeting. The probability chart shows the 3.50%-3.75% range as the dominant outcome.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
3 weeks ago

Brazil M4 at 9.6% Tops Hanke's 7.1% Golden Growth Rate

Brazil's M4 money supply is growing at 9.6% per year, above Steve Hanke's 7.1% Golden Growth Rate benchmark tied to the country's 3.0% inflation target. Brazil inflation is currently 4.4% year over year.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
3 weeks ago

Euro Area Inflation Slows to 1.7% in January 2026, With Romania Leading at 8.5%

Euro area annual inflation eased to 1.7% in January 2026, while EU inflation held at 2.0%, according to Eurostat. France and Denmark posted the lowest rates at 0.4% and 0.6%, while Romania and Slovakia recorded the highest at 8.5% and 4.3%.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
1 month ago

Real Wages Up Just 3.7% Since 2020 as Inflation Bites

US real wages have risen only 3.7% since 2020 after adjusting for inflation, despite a 31% surge in nominal earnings. Rising living costs keep squeezing household budgets with no sign of letting up.

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
1 month ago

Hong Kong Inflation Hits 1.1% in January 2026, Just Under the 2% Target

Hong Kong's annual inflation rate came in at 1.1% year over year in January 2026, staying just below its de facto 2% target. The reading reflects continued stability under the city's dollar-based currency board framework.

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