#GDP

81 articles

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
1 week ago

Goldman Sachs Cuts US GDP Forecast to 2.1%, Raises Recession Odds to 30% as Oil Risk Rises

Goldman Sachs lowers its 2026 US GDP outlook and raises recession probability, highlighting a more fragile growth trajectory.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
2 weeks ago

US GDP Growth Slows to 2.1% in 2025 After 2.9% Peak Two Years Ago

U.S. real GDP eased to 2.1% in 2025, cooling from 2.8% in 2024 and 2.9% in 2023, as post-recovery momentum fades.

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
2 weeks ago

US GDP Revised Down to 0.7% as Growth Falls from 4% Peak

US Q4 GDP revised to 0.7%, durable goods miss, Fed rate cut bets rise for September 2025.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
3 weeks ago

US CPI Inflation Rises 24% in 5 Years, Raising Fed Rate Debate

U.S. consumer prices climbed 24% over five years, averaging 4.4% annually, keeping Fed rate policy under scrutiny.

Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
3 weeks ago

ECB Rate Expectations Surge: Futures Now Price Possible July 2026 Hike

Futures markets have rapidly repriced a potential ECB rate hike in July 2026, driven by mounting inflation fears tied to Europe's deepening energy shock.

Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
3 weeks ago

Bessent Projects 4-5% US GDP Growth as GDPNow Falls to 2.1% in Q1 2026

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent projected the US economy could grow between 4% and 5% this year, while the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model puts Q1 2026 growth at just 2.1% as of March 6, 2026.

Usman Salis Usman Salis Global economy
4 weeks ago

China GDP Outlook: Economy Nears $20T as 2026 Growth Target Hits 4.5%-5%

China outlined its 2026 economic targets, including GDP growth of 4.5% to 5%, over 12 million new urban jobs, and inflation near 2% — as the country's economy edges toward the $20 trillion mark.

Usman Salis Usman Salis Commodities
4 weeks ago

Oil-Powered Growth Risk: $10/Barrel Rise Could Cut GDP 0.1% and Push Inflation to 2.7%

Goldman Sachs warns that a sustained $10-per-barrel rise in oil prices could shave 0.1 percentage point off U.S. GDP growth and push inflation higher in the coming months. The bank outlined Brent and WTI forecasts while flagging ongoing risk factors.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Markets
1 month ago

EU GDP Data: Agriculture Equals 1.2% in 2024 as Greece Leads

Eurostat reported that the EU's agricultural value added amounted to 1.2% of GDP in 2024. Greece had the highest ratio at 3.2%, while Luxembourg and Malta were lowest at 0.2%.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
1 month ago

2026 US GDP Forecast: Goldman Sachs at 2.7% vs. 2.5% Consensus

Goldman Sachs and Wall Street consensus both see U.S. real GDP picking up speed in 2026, bouncing back from a softer 2025 - but the two outlooks diverge on just how strong that rebound will be.

Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
1 month ago

US Core PCE Hits 3.0% and GDP Slows to 1.4% in Q4 2025

US core PCE inflation accelerated to 3.0% year over year in December 2025, while real GDP growth slowed to 1.4% in Q4. The combination highlights persistent inflation pressure alongside weaker growth momentum.

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
1 month ago

U.S. GDP Q4 2025 Slows to 1.4% - Growth Holds But Cracks Are Showing

U.S. real GDP grew at a 1.4% annualized rate in Q4 2025, per the BEA advance estimate - a sharp cooldown from Q3's 4.4%. Services-led consumer spending kept the number positive, but the details underneath paint a more fragile picture.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
1 month ago

India Drives South Asia GDP Growth Near 6-7%, World Bank Data Shows

South Asia's growth story is really India's growth story. World Bank projections reveal a sharp divide between the region's performance with and without its largest economy.

Peter Smith Peter Smith Global economy
1 month ago

Singapore Pulls 31 Points Ahead of Hong Kong in GDP Race Since 2008

A GDP per capita index comparison shows Singapore widening its lead over Hong Kong since 2008, with the gap reaching 31 index points by the latest reading.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Global economy
1 month ago

World Uncertainty Index Soars to Record High Above 2008 and 2020 Crisis Levels

The World Uncertainty Index just hit an all-time high, blowing past the peaks we saw during the 2008 financial meltdown and the 2020 pandemic chaos. This spike signals growing geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainty across global markets.

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
1 month ago

17:1 GDP-Oil Divergence: How 1971 Reshaped Global Growth

A long-run chart reveals how world GDP diverged 17:1 from global oil production after 1971's gold standard abandonment, contrasting Western financialization with China's energy-intensive industrial expansion.

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Global economy
1 month ago

Fed Balance Sheet Set to Keep Growing, Matching GDP Pace

The Federal Reserve looks ready to keep expanding its balance sheet, pumping more liquidity into the financial system through ongoing asset purchases.

Saad Ullah Saad Ullah Artificial Intelligence
1 month ago

$715B AI Spending Surge Won't Boost Economy, JPMorgan Warns

JPMorgan says hyperscaler spending could hit $715B by 2026 but warns it won't translate into GDP growth due to tech trade deficit dynamics.

Eseandre Mordi Eseandre Mordi Markets
1 month ago

S&P 500: Atlanta Fed Sees 4.2% GDP Growth for Q4 2025

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker holds steady at 4.2% for Q4 2025 US GDP growth. The real-time estimate remained unchanged despite fresh economic data, signaling continued momentum in the American economy.

Marina Lyubimova Marina Lyubimova Global economy
1 month ago

800,000 Spanish Workers Get Benefits But Aren't Counted as Unemployed

Spain's unemployment numbers might be hiding the real picture. Nearly a million workers are collecting benefits while officially classified as "inactive" – and that number has tripled since 2019.

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