Saad Ullah
Dogecoin's price chart is telling a story that long-time holders know well. After completing two major market cycles over the last decade, DOGE appears to be entering its third long-term accumulation phase. The coin has broken out of its latest falling channel, held above the 25-month moving average, and successfully retested key support — all classic signals that have preceded its biggest rallies in the past.
Historical Pattern: Three Cycles of Growth
According to analyst EtherNasyonaL, this familiar pattern of quiet accumulation followed by explosive growth may be setting up once again.
Dogecoin's monthly chart reveals a consistent rhythm across three distinct periods:
Cycle 1 (2014–2017): After years of sideways movement in a downward channel, DOGE broke out in 2017, launching its first major bull run alongside the broader crypto boom.
Cycle 2 (2018–2021): The pattern repeated itself. Following another extended downtrend, Dogecoin broke free in 2020 and surged to nearly $0.74 by early 2021, fueled by retail enthusiasm and viral social media momentum.
Cycle 3 (2022–2025): The current setup mirrors the previous two. DOGE has completed another falling channel breakout, retested support successfully, and is holding above the 25-month moving average — a historically significant level that has marked the beginning of upward expansion in past cycles.
Technical Strength Above Key Support
The chart structure remains bullish. Dogecoin continues forming higher lows above its long-term ascending trendline, showing that selling pressure is weakening. The 25-month moving average is acting as dynamic support, just as it did before the 2017 and 2021 rallies. This alignment suggests the coin is stabilizing and building strength before a potential breakout. The projected upward trajectory indicates that a new long-term uptrend could emerge in 2025 if current support levels hold.
The technical setup aligns with improving conditions across the crypto market. Bitcoin's expected 2025 halving and rising institutional interest in digital assets could reignite risk appetite for altcoins like Dogecoin. Community optimism remains strong, fueled by ongoing speculation about potential X (Twitter) payment integration and DOGE's enduring brand recognition. If history repeats, the current phase may represent the calm before another wave of speculative momentum.
Saad Ullah
