Artem Voloskovets
Dogecoin's chart is telling a familiar story. After months of quiet trading, the meme coin is forming a pattern strikingly similar to the ones that came before its past parabolic runs.
These similarities are making people wonder: could Dogecoin be gearing up to surprise the market once again?
Three Cycles, One Blueprint
According to analyst Trader Tardigrade, Dogecoin's current six-month structure—dubbed Cycle 3—closely mirrors Cycle 1, which laid the groundwork for DOGE's first explosive rally years ago. The chart shows Dogecoin's behavior across three major long-term cycles on a six-month timeframe. In Cycle 1 (2013–2017), DOGE formed a long, rounded bottom before erupting into a massive rally in 2017—its first taste of mainstream attention. Cycle 2 (2018–2021) followed almost the exact same path, with DOGE surging from fractions of a cent to $0.74 during the meme coin frenzy, hitting its all-time high.
Now, Cycle 3 (2022–present) is mirroring those early phases. DOGE has been consolidating in a U-shaped curve between $0.06 and $0.15, and recent price action shows renewed strength. The highlighted orange curve on the chart marks this phase, suggesting Dogecoin might be preparing for another expansion.
Each cycle has shown the same behavior: long periods of patience, then explosive growth. The pattern is hard to ignore.
What's Behind the Setup
Technical patterns aside, several factors are supporting Dogecoin's potential breakout. DOGE remains one of the most recognizable cryptocurrencies, backed by a passionate global community and constant social media buzz. Speculation about potential Dogecoin integration into X's payment system keeps long-term optimism alive. And as Bitcoin enters its next bull phase, history shows that money tends to flow into high-risk altcoins like DOGE, amplifying their gains.
These conditions feel familiar—they mirror the environment before Dogecoin's previous breakouts.
If this pattern holds, DOGE could begin its next major move between 2025 and 2026. Long-range technical targets point toward $1–$2 initially, with the possibility of climbing above $5 if momentum mirrors earlier cycles.
Of course, these projections depend heavily on broader market conditions and liquidity. The cycles may rhyme, but timing is always the wildcard.
Dogecoin's chart suggests the same playbook is unfolding again: a long base, followed by explosive growth. Whether Cycle 3 delivers the same results as Cycles 1 and 2 remains to be seen, but the setup is certainly intriguing. For those watching closely, the next year or two could be telling.
Artem Voloskovets
