With the growing momentum behind crypto ETF approvals, speculation has now turned toward Cardano (ADA). According to prediction market data from Polymarket, traders currently estimate a 74% probability that a Cardano ETF will be approved by the end of 2025. The figure has surged 64% from previous levels, reflecting rising optimism among crypto investors and policy watchers alike.
Traders Are Bullish on a Cardano ETF
The Polymarket chart shows a consistent upward trend in betting confidence, with several spikes in April and June. At the time of writing, the chance of a Cardano ETF approval sits at 74%, with total volume surpassing $373,500. This level of engagement underscores growing interest in ADA as a candidate for institutional investment vehicles.

The speculation follows a wave of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approvals that have reshaped the regulatory landscape. With Cardano boasting an advanced smart contract ecosystem and strong community support, many believe it's only a matter of time before ADA joins the ETF club.
What It Means for ADA and the Crypto Market
If the ETF is approved, Cardano (ADA) could see significant inflows from institutional and retail investors alike. Such a development might push ADA prices higher and cement its status as one of the top smart contract platforms in the crypto ecosystem.
However, the road to approval isn’t guaranteed. Regulatory hurdles and broader macroeconomic concerns remain potential obstacles. Still, the market sentiment appears to be tilting decisively toward optimism.
Conclusion
The rising probability of a Cardano (ADA) ETF approval — now at 74% — highlights growing optimism within the crypto investment space. While regulatory uncertainty remains, the sustained market interest and increased betting volume suggest that many see a 2025 approval as likely. If realized, such a development could significantly impact ADA’s adoption and price trajectory. Investors will be watching closely in the coming months.