⬤ Gold is trading in a tightening range on the four-hour chart after rebounding from the $5,415 level. The metal is now caught between a rising blue trendline providing support and horizontal resistance around $5,250. This compression pattern points to a decisive breakout ahead as price action becomes increasingly constrained within the narrowing structure, as detailed in analysis of gold hovering near critical support and resistance zones.
⬤ Looking at the chart structure, the major wave three rally has already completed, and the market is now working through a corrective phase. The wave (b) bounce started near $5,415 and pushed price higher before running into the $5,250 area. Since then, gold has been quietly consolidating while holding the rising trendline support.
A rejection from resistance combined with a trendline break could trigger real downside momentum, with $5,000 and $4,800 as the next key targets.
⬤ If gold tests the $5,250 resistance again, sellers are likely to step in. A rejection from that zone paired with a break below the rising trendline would open the door to further losses. The next technical targets in that case would be the $5,000 and $4,800 support levels, both of which carry significant structural weight. Similar setups have been covered in reports describing gold consolidating after rallying toward the $5,000 level, where the metal entered a sideways phase after strong upward momentum.
⬤ If selling pressure picks up and those supports fail, gold could slide all the way to $4,660, which aligns with the main trend support on the chart. Analysts tracking technical outlooks where gold trades inside consolidation ranges before major moves note that these compression setups often precede stronger directional breakouts once key levels are taken out.
⬤ XAU/USD is at a technically sensitive point right now, with resistance, trend support, and corrective wave patterns all intersecting. The next break out of this narrowing range will likely set the tone: either gold resumes its uptrend, or a deeper correction gets underway toward the $4,660 area.
Sergey Diakov
Sergey Diakov