Artem Voloskovets
⬤ AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is flashing technical signals that point to a probable bottom formation in the March 5-12 window. The forecast comes from historical patterns involving moving average crossovers. That past drawdowns have shown consistent timing - when the 8-day exponential moving average drops below the 20-day simple moving average, the eventual low typically arrives 19 to 25 trading bars later. Right now, ASTS's 8 EMA sits below the 20 SMA while the stock digests its recent pullback.
⬤ The chart shows several previous cycles where ASTS faced short-term selling pressure after the same crossover occurred, with bottoms forming roughly three to four weeks afterward. ASTS is currently trading near $81.28, down sharply from multi-month highs above $120. An ascending trendline from earlier lows still runs through the mid-$60s, offering a broader structural reference if the decline continues. The pattern of similar bar counts across past trends supports the early March bottom projection.
⬤ "The timing model compares past drawdowns to identify probable turning points," according to the analysis. This approach doesn't promise an immediate reversal but highlights systematic observations from historical price behavior. ASTS Drops to $80s After Losing $90 Support examined how losing the $90 level triggered continued weakness, with some analysts eyeing potential downside to the mid-$70s before stabilization. Meanwhile, ASTS Stock Drops Over 14% as AST SpaceMobile Enters Sharp Pullback explored the acceleration of recent declines within broader trend dynamics.
⬤ The potential early March bottom window matters because it aligns observable historical timing with key chart levels. If ASTS stabilizes and reclaims near-term moving averages during that period, it could signal a shift from downtrend to recovery. However, sustained weakness through March could force a reassessment of support zones. Technical analysis from AST SpaceMobile: Can the $90 Strike Magnet Trigger a Volatility Surge Before Feb 20 Expiry? showed how different analytical approaches converge around the same price region, reinforcing the significance of upcoming price action.
Artem Voloskovets
