Saad Ullah
XRP (Ripple) has hit a critical technical level that's caught the attention of crypto traders. The token recently slipped below its 200-week simple moving average — a line that's marked major turning points in the past.
XRP Drops Below Key Long-Term Support Level
XRP is sitting at an important crossroads right now. The latest chart analysis from trader STEPH IS CRYPTO shows the token has fallen under its 200-week simple moving average (SMA) — currently around $2.54.
With XRP trading near $2.10, this break puts the asset in a technically weak spot similar to what we saw in 2018 and 2021, both times that led to extended downturns.
History Repeating Itself
The weekly chart shows three key moments: 2018, 2021, and now 2025. Each time XRP's relationship with that 200-week moving average marked a major shift. In 2018, dropping below this level signaled the end of the bull run and kicked off a lengthy bear market. In 2021, XRP climbed above the average but couldn't maintain it, slipping back down as the broader market weakened. Now in 2025, we're watching the same scenario play out again.
What the Technical Picture Shows
That 200-week SMA has now flipped into a resistance level — meaning XRP will need to push back above $2.54 to regain its footing. Support likely sits between $1.80 and $2.00, where XRP consolidated before its 2024 rally. If selling pressure continues, the $1.30 to $1.50 range could come into play as the next support zone. The moving average itself is starting to flatten out, which indicates that long-term momentum is cooling. Based on previous cycles, XRP has historically spent several months trading below this average before finding a new base.
The Bigger Picture
This technical breakdown is happening while altcoins struggle to gain traction. Bitcoin dominance is climbing, and risk appetite has dried up, leaving tokens like XRP fighting to hold their ground. Despite Ripple announcing new partnerships and institutional deals, these developments haven't translated into price momentum yet.
Saad Ullah
