Usman Salis
XRP traders are seeing déjà vu. If the parallel holds, 2025 could deliver another significant bull run.
The Pattern: 2024 vs. 2025
According to a recent chart from STEPH IS CRYPTO, Ripple's token is tracking a pattern strikingly similar to its 2024 consolidation—a brief dip followed by an explosive rally. The 3-day XRP/USD chart reveals two nearly identical setups. Both revolve around a Gaussian Channel—a green indicator tracking trend direction and volatility. In 2024, XRP briefly touched the channel's lower red zone before consolidating and breaking out past $3.00. Now in 2025, a similar boxed structure is forming, projecting a short-term dip toward $2.20–$2.40, then a potential rebound. The white projection line on the chart suggests that after this correction, XRP could surge toward $7–$9 by 2026 if the historical rhythm repeats.
The $2.20–$2.30 support zone is crucial here. It sits along the Gaussian Channel's lower boundary—historically an accumulation area before major breakouts. This matches prior demand levels from 2024 where price stabilized before reversing upward. The current pullback looks less like a breakdown and more like a healthy pause within an ongoing bullish structure. XRP remains well above its long-term base, and the channel's positive slope reinforces a medium- to long-term bullish outlook.
Why This Could Play Out Again
The technical setup isn't the only thing working in XRP's favor:
- Regulatory clarity: With legal uncertainties fading, XRP is attracting renewed institutional interest as a settlement asset
- Expanding use cases: Ripple keeps growing its footprint in cross-border payments and blockchain liquidity solutions
- Favorable macro conditions: Improving liquidity and expectations of lower interest rates typically benefit large-cap altcoins like XRP during early recovery phases
These fundamentals, paired with XRP's cyclical chart behavior, support the "history repeating" thesis.
If 2024's pattern is any guide, the current 2025 consolidation could be the setup for the next big move. The $2.20–$2.40 zone is now the key level to watch—if it holds, the projected climb toward $7 and beyond starts looking realistic. Once again, XRP is showing that in crypto, history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes—especially right before a breakout.
Usman Salis
