Saad Ullah
XRP might be one of the most time-predictable cryptocurrencies out there. Even outliers like the 26-month bear market after 2018 fit neatly into this pattern when you realize it's simply two cycles back-to-back. As Pizzino puts it, "history is rhyming again," suggesting XRP may be on the verge of another major move.
The Pattern in Action
According to a recent analysis by Jason Pizzino, XRP's major bullish and bearish trends have followed a remarkably consistent rhythm for years—each lasting roughly 12 to 13 months, or multiples thereof.
Looking at XRP's monthly chart, the pattern becomes impossible to ignore. Each major phase—whether rally or correction—spans about 12 to 13 months, creating a well-defined yearly rhythm:
- 2014–2016: Early accumulation phases alternating every 12–13 months, setting the stage for future volatility
- 2017–2018: A 12-month buildup into the historic bull run, followed by a 26-month bear market (790 days)—exactly double the typical cycle
- 2020–2022: Another rally and decline following the same cadence, with a 14-month correction as the only real outlier, likely tied to the broader crypto winter and regulatory pressure
- 2023–2025: Current price action once again tracking the 12–13 month rhythm, now approaching the same time interval that preceded past breakouts
If this temporal pattern continues, XRP could be setting up for another significant directional move within the next few months. It's a level of time-based consistency rarely seen in large-cap crypto assets.
Why Does This Pattern Exist?
Crypto markets move in waves driven by investor sentiment and liquidity flows. For XRP, this rhythm likely reflects recurring behavioral cycles—enthusiasm, accumulation, and eventual fatigue all playing out on roughly annual intervals. It could also be tied to macro liquidity cycles or the timing of regulatory and ecosystem developments around Ripple's network.
While the 12–13 month pattern doesn't guarantee what happens next, it does help traders spot potential exhaustion points—especially after long rallies or consolidations. And right now, XRP is sitting right at one of those inflection points.
Saad Ullah
