NIO Inc. is having a nail-biting day as options expiration brings the usual market madness. But here's what's got traders glued to their screens: the stock is desperately clinging to that all-important $4.45 support level. This isn't just any random number – it's make-or-break territory for NIO's bullish dreams.
The technical picture tells quite a story. As long as NIO stays planted above $4.45, the bulls are still in control with their Elliott Wave pattern intact. What's really got people excited is the potential for subwave 5 to kick in, which could rocket the price straight up to $6.32. That's a juicy 40%+ gain from where we're sitting right now.
NIO Price Technical Setup Gets Interesting
Here's where things get technical but stay with me – it's actually pretty straightforward. NIO recently smashed through a long-term downtrend line that had been weighing it down for months. Now it's doing what stocks often do after big breakouts: coming back to test that same level to see if it'll hold as support.
The daily chart shows some promising signs. The 200-day moving average is sitting at $4.27, giving NIO another safety net if things go south. Meanwhile, resistance levels are mapped out at $5.05 and $5.58 using those fancy Fibonacci calculations traders love so much.

What's really encouraging is the RSI indicator hovering around 60 – not too hot, not too cold. It suggests there's still room for the stock to climb without getting into that dangerous overbought territory where selloffs usually happen.
What Happens Next for NIO Price
The next few sessions are absolutely critical. If NIO can tough it out above $4.45 through all this OPEX craziness, we could see some serious fireworks. A strong close above $5.05 would likely trigger the next leg up toward $5.58, and from there, that dream target of $6.32 starts looking very real.
But let's be honest – if the bears manage to drag NIO below $4.45, this whole bullish party could come crashing down pretty fast. In that scenario, we'd probably see a retreat back to the $4.27 moving average support, or possibly even deeper into the $4.00 zone.