Eseandre Mordi
XRP (Ripple) weekly chart is flashing warning signs that traders can't ignore. The price is heading back to the 50-week simple moving average, and history suggests this could be trouble. This exact setup appeared before major downturns in both 2018 and 2022, and now it's happening again in 2025. The similarities are hard to miss, and that's got investors on edge.
XRP Tests Critical 50-Week SMA Again
The latest weekly chart shows XRP interacting with its 50-week simple moving average — a level that's been a turning point before.
Three key moments stand out: 2018, 2022, and now 2025. Each time XRP hit this level after a rally, things got ugly.
What Happened in 2018 and 2022
- In 2018, XRP spiked hard before losing steam right at the 50-SMA, then dropped into a multi-year bear market that crushed prices
- The 2022 setup was eerily similar — XRP approached the moving average but couldn't break through, leading to months of sideways action that slowly bled value
- Both periods showed the same pattern: a sharp rally followed by a stall at the 50-SMA, then a prolonged decline
- The shape and slope of the moving average in those earlier cycles look almost identical to what we're seeing now
2025 Shows the Same Setup
Right now, XRP is approaching that same 50-week SMA with momentum clearly fading. The current structure shows slowing bullish energy, a stall after the recent rally, a flattening moving average, no strong continuation candle, and a pattern that looks exactly like the two previous tops. That repetition is why traders are calling this moment dangerous.
Momentum Is Fading Fast
- There's no higher high after the recent surge, which means bulls haven't confirmed anything
- Weekly candles are shrinking, showing that buyers are running out of steam
- The SMA is flattening out, pointing to a weakening trend
- Volume is dropping off, which often happens right before reversals
- This doesn't look like a healthy uptrend anymore — it looks like a classic topping pattern
What's Making Things Worse
Technical patterns aren't the only problem. The Ripple-SEC situation still hangs over the market creating regulatory uncertainty. Bitcoin dominance is rising, which typically crushes altcoins. Liquidity across crypto is drying up, making big swings more likely. And there aren't any major ecosystem updates to give bulls a reason to push higher.
Eseandre Mordi
