Ethereum (ETH) has delivered impressive gains in 2025, successfully breaking above multi-month resistance and briefly touching levels above $4,400. However, the recent pullback has brought ETH to a make-or-break moment at a critical support zone that could determine the next major directional move.
Technical Breakdown
The weekly chart reveals a classic breakout retest scenario. As noted by trader Venu, ETH successfully pushed through the $4,000–$4,200 resistance zone that had repeatedly capped price action throughout 2024. Trading near $3,850, Ethereum now faces its most important test at the $3,600 level.

A weekly close below this threshold would invalidate the entire breakout structure and expose ETH to significant downside risk. Conversely, successful defense of this support could pave the way for a retest of $4,900, with potential extension toward $7,000. The breakout was accompanied by rising volume, though recent weakness reflects natural profit-taking after such a strong rally.
Why This Matters
Holding $3,600 would validate Ethereum's bullish setup and maintain investor confidence. Beyond technical factors, Ethereum benefits from strong staking flows and optimism around future scaling upgrades. The broader crypto market is watching closely, as ETH's performance often influences altcoin sentiment.
What's Next
The next weekly close will be decisive. A successful hold above $3,600 keeps the breakout structure intact and supports a medium-term move toward $4,900. However, failure could trigger a deeper correction toward $2,800–$3,000. The technical picture still favors bulls, but confirmation depends on price action in the coming days.