Saad Ullah
⬤Bitcoin is trading inside a long-term ascending channel, with price action showing clear weakness near the lower boundary. The current structure points to a capitulation phase before a potential move higher. BTC recently failed to hold the upper portion of the channel, sliding back toward the $70,000 level -- a zone that now acts as a key structural reference.
⬤The multi-year rising channel has shaped Bitcoin's price behavior across multiple cycles. A pullback to the lower trendline is now underway, testing critical support. This kind of rejection from upper resistance is nothing new -- it has appeared in previous consolidations. A similar pattern played out when Bitcoin rejected the $68K range high, pushing back into range structure before stabilizing.
⬤Momentum indicators are weakening, consistent with a classic pre-expansion compression. The lower chart indicator shows declining strength across the board. A comparable setup emerged in the BTC bounce after sweeping lows near $74,400, where a liquidity-driven flush preceded a recovery phase.
⬤The interaction with the lower channel boundary will be decisive. If support holds, it could mark the end of the current corrective leg. Historical cycle data remains relevant here -- as detailed in the BTC cycle prediction pointing to a 2026 bottom, cyclical corrections have consistently preceded major trend continuation phases
Saad Ullah
