Silver has spent decades consolidating, but the chart is now suggesting something big might be brewing. With silver testing the $48–$50 zone once again, a level that marked major peaks in both 1980 and 2011, traders are asking: is this finally the breakout that sticks?
The Technical Setup
Analyst mühendisborsa recently highlighted a massive multi-decade cup formation on the XAG/USD chart—the kind of setup that doesn't come around often.
The long-term chart shows silver building a generational base, with price action forming an ascending channel that's been tightening for years. Here are the key levels to watch:
- $45 – Major support and the current structural floor
- $52 – Immediate resistance where past rallies stalled
- $77 – Primary linear target representing the upper channel boundary
- $85–$100 – Extended targets if momentum accelerates
The chart also shows a clean ascending trendline connecting major lows since the early 2000s, reinforcing the idea that silver is in a long-term accumulation phase that could be ready to expand.
Why This Time Could Be Different
Silver has hit the $48–$50 ceiling twice before—in 1980 and 2011—only to crash back down into years of sideways grinding. But this time, the setup looks healthier. The base is broader, the trendlines are steadier, and the fundamentals are stronger. Growing demand from solar panels, EVs, and electronics, combined with renewed interest in precious metals as inflation hedges, is giving silver more support than it's had in decades.
According to, if silver holds above $45, the long-term bullish structure stays intact. A decisive break above $52 would confirm the start of a new macro bullish phase—potentially kicking off a rally toward $77 and beyond. The analyst notes it's still too early to talk about parabolic moves, but the linear projections alone suggest significant upside if resistance gives way.
For long-term investors, the big picture is clear: silver looks like it's standing at the edge of a historic shift. If the breakout happens, we could be witnessing the early stages of the next silver supercycle.
Artem Voloskovets
Artem Voloskovets