Tesla is flashing a significant technical warning after closing the week below its yearly pivot at $387. Trading near $368, the stock has confirmed a breakdown that analysts say may define its trajectory for months ahead. The loss of this key level points toward the 100-week moving average near $325 as the next major downside target.
Yearly Pivot at $387 Lost: What the Breakdown Means
TSLA had been using the $387.60 yearly pivot as a floor, but that support has now been surrendered. The rejection from the $480-$500 range, followed by consecutive lower highs and fading momentum, confirms a structural shift from bullish to corrective. Tesla Stock Below $364 Resistance, Key Support Levels at $344, $325 and $300 in Focus outlines how the selling pressure began building well before this latest pivot failure.
$325 Target: 100-Week Moving Average as the Next Key Level
The 100-week moving average, sitting near $325, is now firmly in view. This long-term indicator has historically served as a significant cushion during extended corrections. The gap between the current price and this level suggests meaningful downside risk remains if sellers stay in control. Tesla Breaks Key Support, $230-to-$450 Cycle Points to Deeper Drop First also highlights how price may work through support zones in stages before finding a base.
The breakdown below $387 is not an isolated signal. It coincides with broader technical deterioration: a confirmed prior top, declining momentum, and a series of lower highs. How TSLA reacts at the $325 zone will be critical in determining whether the stock stabilizes or extends its correction further.
Alex Dudov
Alex Dudov