Usman Salis
● In a recent post, Nubra highlighted how Intel (INTC) has picked up serious steam following its Q3 FY2025 earnings report, which topped guidance on both revenue and earnings per share. The upside surprise, paired with optimistic forward guidance, triggered an 8% rally in the days that followed—one of Intel's strongest short-term runs this year.
● As Nubra put it, the move is "not magic — it's momentum and news flow." The rally got a boost from several things coming together at once: new capital flowing in from Nvidia, SoftBank, and even U.S. government-backed semiconductor programs, plus Intel's sharper focus on cutting costs and restructuring under fresh leadership. All of this has lifted investor sentiment and brought some life back to the company's turnaround narrative.
● At the heart of it all is Intel's Q3 earnings beat, which sailed past Wall Street's expectations and showed management is serious about regaining ground in the advanced chip space. The forward-looking guidance added even more fuel, with investors reading it as a sign that Intel is stabilizing and executing well—both crucial for any long-term recovery.
● That said, analysts and traders are still keeping an eye on potential risks, especially around Intel's 18A chip production timeline. It's an ambitious plan, but there's still plenty of uncertainty. Any delays or tech hiccups could put a damper on the recent momentum, especially with TSMC and Samsung pushing ahead on next-gen chip nodes.
● As Nubra cautioned, "Trade smart. Size right. Use stops"—a reminder to stay disciplined even when things look bullish.
● At the close on October 24, Intel's stock was at $38.28, up 0.31%, with after-hours trading showing a slight dip to $38.11, according to Yahoo Finance. The uptick in volume—over 2 million shares changing hands—suggests growing institutional interest, hinting that Intel's long-awaited comeback story might actually be starting to stick.
Usman Salis
