Something interesting is happening with XRP right now. If you've been watching crypto markets for a while, this setup might give you déjà vu. The price action we're seeing in late 2025 looks strikingly similar to what happened right before XRP's explosive rally in 2017. And if history has a way of rhyming in crypto markets, we might be on the verge of another significant move.
The 2017 Pattern Is Back
XRP is trading within an ascending channel that's been in place since 2014. Think of this channel as a highway with upper and lower guardrails—the price bounces between them as it trends upward over time. What's catching everyone's attention now is how XRP recently tested the middle line of this channel, got rejected, and started consolidating. This is exactly what happened before the 2017 parabolic surge.
The chart from analyst EtherNasyonaL highlights two critical periods: Q4 2017 and Q4 2025. Both show the same behavior—a test of the midline resistance, followed by consolidation. In technical analysis, this is often what you see right before a major breakout. The lower boundary around $1.00 has consistently provided strong support, while the upper boundary sits somewhere between $8 and $10, representing the next major resistance zone.
The Path Forward
Right now, XRP is consolidating in the $2.00–$2.50 range, which needs to hold for this pattern to remain valid. A drop below this zone could delay things, but it wouldn't necessarily invalidate the longer-term setup. The real confirmation comes with a strong weekly close above $3.50—that's when traders will start paying serious attention. If XRP can hold above $4.00 for several weeks after that, the path toward $8–$10 could open up relatively quickly.
For anyone who's held XRP through the years of legal battles and sideways price action, this might finally be the setup they've been waiting for. The technical structure is there, the fundamentals are improving, and the market conditions could be lining up. That said, crypto markets are notorious for false starts, so confirmation through volume and sustained movement above key levels is essential before getting too excited.
The bottom line? XRP's current chart looks a lot like 2017, and if that pattern plays out again, we could see some serious action in the coming months. Whether you're bullish, bearish, or just watching from the sidelines, this is definitely one to keep on your radar as we move through 2025.
Saad Ullah
Saad Ullah