Victoria Bazir
A fresh move under the Gaussian Channel on the 3-day XRP (Ripple) chart is raising concerns among traders. The price is sliding below a critical support zone just as the broader crypto market recalibrates after a strong early-2025 rally.
XRP Shows Early Weakness as It Slips Beneath a Major Indicator
Analyst STEPH IS CRYPTO highlighted the development, noting that XRP's current structure resembles previous phases where momentum cooled before prolonged consolidation. The chart spans 2021 through 2025, mapping XRP's price action against green (bullish) and red (bearish) Gaussian Channel bands. In 2022, slipping into the red band preceded a long sideways period. In 2025, XRP surged far above the channel but now dips below the upper green band — a sign of weakening momentum.
XRP is losing its mid-channel zone near $2.29, with next support around $2.00–$2.20 at the lower band. After reaching above $3 earlier this year, lower peaks are forming. The current candle closes beneath the channel's center, suggesting a shift away from bullish control, while resistance sits at $3.00–$3.10. The breach indicates a momentum fade rather than sudden capitulation.
Why XRP Is Weakening Now
This move happens amid broader market forces. Capital continues flowing into BTC after strong ETF-driven interest, leaving altcoins softer. Ripple-related developments and U.S. policy debates influence sentiment, while XRP's early 2025 surge left price extended above key indicators. Losing the Gaussian Channel midline during this environment carries extra weight.
What Comes Next for XRP?
If XRP stabilizes at the lower green band and reclaims the channel's center, this decline may prove to be a healthy reset. However, a sustained move below the lower band could mirror 2022's long consolidation pattern. The next 3–6 candles will be critical. A recovery back into the green zone signals renewed strength, while continued weakness points toward deeper structural change.
XRP stands at a technical crossroads: momentum is weakening, but the trend isn't broken yet. Whether buyers defend the next support zone will shape the asset's path into early 2026.
Victoria Bazir
