Eseandre Mordi
⬤ Alphabet's rally keeps pushing higher as $GOOG extends gains of more than 100 percent since prediction markets crowned Google the AI frontrunner. Polymarket data shows Google commanding an 87.5 percent probability of having the best AI model by year-end 2025, crushing competitors by massive margins. The weekly chart shows GOOG trading near 320.28 with back-to-back green candles signaling strong momentum throughout recent months.
⬤ GOOG's acceleration kicked off after an extended stabilization phase earlier in 2025, then shifted into a clear multi-month climb. Price consistently stayed above rising support while volume remained elevated, showing steady buying throughout the uptrend. The volume profile reveals thinning supply above 250, matching the smoother price action as the stock pushed into higher territory on persistent buying pressure.
⬤ The lower panel displays Polymarket probabilities showing Google's massive AI lead. Google dominates at 87.5 percent while xAI trails at 5.80 percent, Anthropic at 4.50 percent, OpenAI at 1.45 percent and DeepSeek at just 0.15 percent. Google tracked well above rivals all year, matching the confidence reflected in those probability numbers and aligning perfectly with GOOG's strong price trend.
⬤ This matters because AI leadership expectations drive major moves in tech stocks right now. Alphabet's huge run shows how market sentiment around AI capabilities directly impacts valuations and reshapes competitive landscapes. As focus intensifies on tech positioning heading into 2026, GOOG's performance highlights how perceived AI strength shapes broader equity momentum and investor behavior.
Eseandre Mordi
