NIO (NYSE: NIO) has finally broken free from a multi-year downtrend, and traders are taking notice. The Chinese EV maker's current chart pattern looks remarkably similar to the setup that preceded its explosive summer 2021 rally.
Chart Breakdown
Trader K A L E O recently noted that the stock is "playing out perfectly so far," pointing to technical indicators that suggest we might be witnessing the early stages of another significant move higher.

The weekly chart tells a compelling story. After years of grinding lower, NIO has punched through a descending trendline that had acted as a ceiling since 2021. This breakout marks a potential shift in market sentiment. The $6–7 zone now serves as a solid support base following the breakout, while the chart points to a long-term target zone between $65–70, an area that previously acted as supply. The projected path shows a steep upward trajectory that mirrors past parabolic runs.
Back in summer 2021, NIO went on a tear once it cleared key resistance levels, racing to new highs in a matter of weeks. Today's setup shares some striking similarities: a confirmed base, a clean breakout, and momentum that's starting to build. Of course, history doesn't always repeat, but it often rhymes.
What's Driving This?
Several factors are converging. China continues to push aggressive EV incentives, and domestic adoption keeps climbing. Globally, there's renewed buzz around electric vehicles that's bringing growth stocks back into favor. And let's not forget the technical element: breakouts like this tend to attract momentum traders and trigger algorithmic buying, which can fuel the move even further.
If the pattern holds, the next logical target is the psychological $10 level. From there, a sustained rally could eventually push toward that $65–70 supply zone marked on the chart. Under the right market conditions, the broader projection suggests even more room to run, though that would require everything to align just right.
NIO has shifted from a long downtrend into what looks like bullish territory, and the comparisons to 2021 aren't unfounded. The upside potential is real, but so is the volatility. Parabolic moves can reverse just as quickly as they develop, so anyone watching this should stay grounded and manage risk accordingly.