Artem Voloskovets
December 2025 futures hit $429.85 per pound, marking a fresh record high and a 2% jump in a single day. After breaking through the $420 barrier, prices are now eyeing the next resistance at $437.95. If that breaks, we could see another 10% climb toward $450.
What's Pushing Prices Higher?
As Stock Sharks points out, coffee just became a lot more expensive.
- Weather problems in Brazil – Droughts and frosts have hammered harvests in the world's largest coffee producer
- Growing demand – Emerging markets like China and India are developing stronger coffee cultures
- Weaker dollar – Makes coffee cheaper for international buyers, boosting demand
- Supply squeezes – Vietnam and Colombia are also facing production challenges
- Inflation hedge – Investors are piling into commodities as protection against rising prices
What's Next?
The big question is whether coffee can push through $437.95. If it does with strong buying volume, $450 becomes the next target. But if it stalls here, we might see some consolidation or even a pullback to the $420 support level.
For now, the trend looks firmly bullish. Supply issues aren't going away overnight, demand keeps growing, and the technical picture shows momentum on the bulls' side. Anyone trading coffee needs to watch that $437.95 level closely—it'll tell us whether this rally has legs or needs a breather.
Key levels: Support at $420, resistance at $437.95, bullish target at $450.
Artem Voloskovets
