Toncoin (TON) has been facing significant downward pressure, currently priced at $2.83 with a yearly drop of 45%. The coin's market cap hovers around $7.14 billion, but investor confidence has wavered as the bearish trend persists.
Toncoin Struggles Amid Market Weakness
The token continues to lose ground in a challenging market environment. According to recent commentary from Pavel Durov (Parody), the fundamentals haven't changed much, but price action tells a different story. The one-year chart shows TON falling from peaks above $7.00 earlier this year. After a short consolidation phase, the price continued sliding, forming a clear downtrend.

Right now, TON is testing a support zone between $2.50 and $2.80, trying to find stable ground. The first real resistance sits around $4.00, which looks distant given current momentum. Trading volume has declined alongside price, pointing to reduced market interest. If $2.80 gives way, the next logical test would be down near $2.00.
Several factors are weighing on TON's performance. The broader altcoin market has been underperforming, with Bitcoin holding up better and leaving smaller tokens behind. Token supply dynamics also play a role - with 2.51 billion TON circulating out of a total supply of 5.14 billion, concerns about dilution linger. Capital has been flowing toward higher-liquidity projects during periods of uncertainty, which has limited fresh money coming into Toncoin.
What's Next for TON
For TON to turn things around, it needs to defend the $2.50 support level and eventually push back above $4.00. Without that, downside risk remains toward $2.00 or lower. Toncoin still has long-term potential thanks to its connection with the Telegram ecosystem, but current technicals suggest caution. Investors may need patience as the market looks for a bottom and clearer direction emerges.