After months of grinding sideways, Tesla is finally breaking out. The stock has pushed through the $437–$450 resistance zone that held it back for much of 2025, and now traders are eyeing the $475–$500 range as the next target. With tech stocks catching a bid again and optimism returning to growth names, Tesla looks like it's ready to make another run—and the options market is betting big on it.
The Technical Picture
As TrendSpider joked, this rally might just help fund Musk's $1 trillion dream after all.
Tesla's chart is textbook bullish right now:
- Breakout confirmed above $437–$450 resistance after months of consolidation
- Moving averages turning upward, providing support around $400–$425
- Parabolic SAR dots below price, signaling bulls are in control
- Volume picking up, showing real accumulation behind the move
- Momentum indicators in the green zone, with bearish pressure fading
On top of that, the options market is lighting up. Large institutional call sweeps—some worth $400K to $900K—are targeting strikes from $500 to $660 through January 2026. When you see that kind of positioning alongside a technical breakout, it usually means smart money is preparing for more upside.
What's Behind the Rally?
Tesla's getting a boost from the broader rebound in growth stocks and AI plays. Softer bond yields and renewed appetite for high-beta names are working in its favor. Add in progress on AI projects like the Dojo supercomputer, expanding energy storage business, and expectations for stronger software-driven margins, and you've got a solid backdrop for the stock to run.
Artem Voloskovets
Artem Voloskovets