Saad Ullah
⬤ Nvidia crushed its Q4 performance with revenue hitting $68.1 billion - a massive 73 percent jump from last year and well above the $65.9 billion analysts were expecting. The company also threw out guidance for Q1 at around $78 billion, topping the consensus estimate of $72.8 billion but missing the most optimistic calls near $80 billion. Still, NVDA shares didn't budge after the earnings call wrapped up, closing the day basically flat.
⬤ The chart tracking Nvidia's quarterly sales tells the story of explosive growth over the past few years, with revenue rocketing to this new record high. But investors didn't seem too thrilled after the call, mainly because of some cautious notes from management. Nvidia Stock Price Target: Analysts Weigh In on Next Leg Higher shows how market expectations had already run ahead. During the conference, Nvidia's CFO mentioned that Chinese competitors are "making progress" and warned that competitive pressure could shake things up industry-wide down the road. That comment, plus the lack of any extra forward-looking details, put a damper on sentiment even though Nvidia's near-term outlook stayed solid.
⬤ Nvidia laid out some ambitious long-term plans, saying its upcoming Blackwell and Rubin chips could pull in over $500 billion in revenue by the end of 2026. NVDA Price Analysis: Channel Break Signals Short Term Pullback examines the technical picture following the announcement. But the company also confirmed it hasn't sold a single H200 chip to China and isn't counting any Chinese data center revenue in its forecasts while it waits for regulatory approval on a small US-licensed shipment that's facing a 25 percent tariff. Geopolitical friction and export controls keep hanging over Nvidia as it manages global supply chains.
⬤ The muted stock reaction shows how sky-high investor expectations have become - even blowout results aren't enough anymore. Nvidia Earnings Recap: Guidance Beats, Focus On AI Demand breaks down what analysts are watching next. While Nvidia keeps posting growth numbers that almost no other tech company can touch, the market's now laser-focused on whether it's sustainable and who might challenge them. The earnings and guidance paint a picture of Nvidia's commanding position in AI computing, but also highlight how sensitive the stock is to any hint of future competition or regulatory trouble. As Nvidia heads into its next fiscal year, finding the right balance between growth projections and evolving industry realities will likely keep driving how the stock performs.
Saad Ullah
