While most traders focus on daily price movements, Stellar (XLM) is quietly setting up for what could be one of the most significant rallies in recent months. Currently trading at $0.3904 with a modest 1.06% decline, the cryptocurrency appears to be in a consolidation phase that often precedes major breakouts. Beneath the surface, however, macro indicators are painting a compelling picture that suggests XLM may be on the verge of a substantial move higher.
The Liquidity Divergence That Everyone's Missing
The most intriguing development comes from macro analysis revealing a stark divergence between Stellar's price action and global M2 money supply trends. This disconnect shows how global liquidity continues its relentless climb while XLM remains trapped below the critical $0.40 resistance level.
As noted by trader, this divergence creates a rubber band effect that historically resolves through explosive price movements.

When assets decouple from underlying liquidity trends for extended periods, they often experience rapid catch-up moves that can surprise even seasoned investors. The current setup mirrors conditions seen before previous XLM rallies that delivered triple-digit gains.
Why $0.40 Could Trigger the Next Major Rally
Technical analysis supports the bullish narrative emerging from macro trends. The $0.40 level has acted as both support and resistance multiple times, creating a psychological barrier that, once broken, typically leads to accelerated buying. If XLM can reclaim this threshold with conviction, the next logical targets sit between $0.50 and $0.60 – representing potential gains of 28% to 54% from current levels.
The convergence of global liquidity expansion, technical breakout potential, and Stellar's strong fundamentals creates a perfect storm for upside momentum. Smart money appears to be accumulating quietly, waiting for the catalyst that transforms this consolidation into the next leg higher.