Usman Salis
Dogecoin (DOGE) is displaying the same technical pattern on the DOGE/BTC chart that preceded one of crypto's most explosive rallies. With bullish divergence already forming and the MACD approaching a potential crossover, many traders are wondering if another "DogeSeason" is brewing for 2025–2026.
DOGE/BTC Shows High-Timeframe Reversal Signs
The monthly chart reveals several encouraging signals. A bullish divergence has emerged, with momentum trending upward even as price hit fresh lows—exactly what we saw before the 2021 explosion. The MACD lines are converging toward a bullish crossover, which has historically marked the beginning of sustained DOGE outperformance against Bitcoin. Recent price action shows stronger upward moves, suggesting buyers are stepping in on dips. According to Trader Tardigrade, this combination of technical indicators could position DOGE for another major run against Bitcoin.
These patterns closely mirror what happened in 2021, when similar divergence and crossover signals marked the start of Dogecoin's most spectacular rally to date. The momentum shift is becoming increasingly apparent as the monthly candles show more conviction on the upside.
Why Dogecoin Could Surge Against Bitcoin
Several factors support the potential for DOGE outperformance. When Bitcoin enters consolidation phases after significant gains, capital often rotates into altcoins like Dogecoin. The coin's massive retail following and meme status make it particularly attractive during these rotation periods.
The broader macro environment also looks favorable, with easing financial conditions and growing risk appetite potentially fueling another altcoin season. Dogecoin thrives on narrative-driven momentum, whether from payment integrations, celebrity endorsements, or general meme-coin hype cycles.
Key Levels and Risk Management
Traders should watch for a monthly close above recent swing highs, combined with a confirmed MACD bullish crossover, as the primary confirmation signal. If this setup plays out like 2021, DOGE/BTC could see a substantial multi-month rally.
However, risks remain. A failed crossover or breakdown below the current base would invalidate the bullish thesis and likely delay any major move. Volume confirmation will be crucial to validate any breakout attempts.
Looking Ahead
Dogecoin's chart is echoing its 2021 success story through bullish divergence, pending MACD crossover, and strengthening higher-timeframe momentum. If confirmed, this technical setup could signal the beginning of a new "DogeSeason" in 2025–2026.
The next monthly close and volume patterns will be critical to watch. For those tracking altcoin rotations, DOGE's next major phase may be closer than many expect.
Usman Salis
